By Richard de Neufville, Amedeo Odoni, Peter Belobaba, Tom Reynolds
* the hot ordinary on airport platforms planning,design, and administration * presents ideas to the main urgent airport issues: enlargement, site visitors, atmosphere, additions, and so on. * complete assurance of computer-based instruments and technique * extra studies and updates to be had through authors' web site (20041011)
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Extra resources for Airport systems: planning, design, and management
Now, however, the industry increasingly involves international organizations working broadly across the world. These groups may be either companies or government-owned authorities. In either case, to compete and succeed internationally they must adopt the best practices they discover among their competitors. This transformation of the industry affects both the airlines and the airports. Airlines traditionally had specific national characters even though they provided international service. American Airlines, British Airways, and Air France, for example, were each clearly based in their home countries and represented their nationalities proudly.
The rate of growth slowed down in the last decades of the century, to about 4 percent a year, but this still implies between a doubling and tripling of traffic over a 25-year generation. Given that the planning horizon for large-scale infrastructure projects is normally between 10 and 15 years, due to the need to create the designs, assemble financing, and proceed successfully through environmental reviews, the growth in loads on airports means that planners should at any time generally be contemplating 50 to 100 percent increments in capacity.
Future levels of traffic are questionable. Since small differences in assumptions cumulate to enormous differences in consequences 25 years or more from now, airport professionals should be tentative about future levels of traffic. For example, slight deviations of plus or minus 1 percent from a long-term growth rate of 4 percent a year in enplaned passengers lead to substantially different forecasts. A 5 percent annual rate of growth compounded over 25 years gives an end result about 140 percent greater, in terms of the starting amount, than a 3 percent annual rate of growth.